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Astrophysicist: China's rocket could fall to Bulgaria

The second degree of the Changchen 5B carrier rocket, which brought into orbit a module of the Chinese space station, flew over the territory of Bulgaria early this morning and there is a minimal probability that parts of it will fall near the southern Bulgarian border, Bulgarian astrophysicist Pencho told BTA Marquish.
The Changcheng 5B carrier rocket was launched from the Outchang spaceport on April 29 and brought into orbit the main module of China's future space station. Its second degree lacks the means for active maneuvering and carries out an uncontrolled exit from orbit, with it expected to fall somewhere to Earth on May 9. The expectation is that debris will fall into the World Ocean.

"This morning at 04:10am she flew over Petrichko”, said Markishki, who is a physicist at the Institute of Astronomy with National Astronomical Observatory at the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences and Astronomy Department at Sofia University. “The rocket is still circling the Earth, descending to an ever lower orbit. When it reaches the denser atmospheric layers, it will begin to crumble, sharply slow down its speed and go more headlong downward. The likelihood that the extreme southern parts of Bulgaria will be below it is not great, but hypothetically exists,” the physicist specified. The rocket's path can be traced online on YouTube.

Markishki added that the Chinese missile could affect not only the most extreme southern regions of Bulgaria, but Greece and Turkey are already in the range of possible fall. “This is because the inclination of the rocket's orbit is about 41p relative to the plane of the Earth's equator,” he explained and specified that a probability of scattering debris at another half degree to the north and south was added.

According to Roscosmos, the rocket will fall in the Timorean Sea.

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